Home Depot sees fiscal 2026 sales, profit below estimates amid sluggish spending

By ⁠Savyata Mishra

Dec 9 (Reuters) – Home improvement chain Home Depot on Tuesday ⁠forecast fiscal 2026 comparable sales growth and profit below analysts’ estimates as demand for do-it-yourself projects and ⁠big-ticket items cools.

Shares of the company were down about 1% in afternoon trading as the retailer outlined ​financial targets at its first investor day in more than two years.

Home ‍Depot customers were feeling a certain level of uncertainty, which is expected to persist next year as “we have not yet seen a catalyst or an inflection in housing activity,” finance chief Richard McPhail said on ​an investor conference call.

U.S. housing demand has been choppy due to rising unemployment and high home prices. Meanwhile, easing U.S. interest and mortgage rates had failed to aid a recovery, with the company projecting ​a bigger drop in fiscal 2025 profit in its latest quarterly earnings.

Retailers such as Home ⁠Depot and Lowe’s are under pressure as Americans curb spending on costly home ‌renovations and big-ticket projects due to higher borrowing costs.

Home Depot expects same-store sales for fiscal 2026 to ⁠grow in the range of flat to 2%, ​below the average of analysts’ expectations of 2.34%, according to data compiled by LSEG.

It ‌forecast adjusted earnings-per-share to be flat to 4% higher. Analysts had estimated the company’s EPS to grow 5.6%.

“We believe that ‍the pressures in housing will correct and provide the home improvement market with support for growth faster than the general economy,” McPhail said in a statement earlier in the day.

TD Cowen analysts view the forecast as “a reasonable starting point” that could set the ground for a recovery once momentum in housing and large projects begins to build.

The company stock has shed about 10% of its value this year, compared with a 16% rise in the ⁠broader S&P 500 index. 

(Reporting by Savyata Mishra ‌in Bengaluru; Editing by Leroy ⁠Leo)

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