Wall Street is heading into one of the most important trading days of 2025, with investors trying to navigate a stock market that’s teetering between a major rebound or a deeper correction.

📉 The S&P 500 just had its worst week since September, while the Nasdaq 100 officially entered correction territory—down over 10% from its highs.

And tomorrow? We get a potential game-changer.

Between key tech earnings (Adobe), a major inflation report (CPI), and a nervous Fed watching every move, Tuesday’s session could determine the market’s trajectory for weeks to come.

Let’s break down the biggest market-moving events investors need to watch. 👇

🔥 Will Tech Earnings Reverse the Sell-Off or Fuel More Losses?

Tech stocks have led the sell-off, and now Adobe (ADBE) is in the spotlight.

📌 Adobe reports earnings after the bell on Wednesday, and investors want answers:

• Has AI monetization from Firefly & Creative Cloud started to show up in revenue?
• Are customers pulling back on enterprise software spending?
• Will Adobe’s guidance reassure Wall Street—or signal trouble ahead?

💡 If Adobe delivers strong numbers and bullish guidance, it could spark a turnaround in beaten-down tech stocks.

But if earnings disappoint? The Nasdaq could slide even further, dragging the entire sector down with it.

📉 The CPI Inflation Report Could Shake the Market

⏳ Wednesday, March 12 – 8:30 AM ET

This isn’t just another inflation report—it’s THE report that could decide the Fed’s next move.

📊 What economists expect:
✔️ 2.9% YoY inflation (slightly lower than 3.0% last month)
✔️ Core Inflation (ex-Food & Energy): Still sticky around 3.5%+

🔥 Why this matters:
➡️ If inflation is hotter than expected → The market could plunge further, as rate cut expectations drop.
➡️ If inflation is cooling faster than expected → Stocks could rally hard, as rate cuts become more likely in June.

The Fed’s March 18-19 meeting is next week—and this CPI report could make or break their decision.

Translation: If you own stocks, this is a must-watch event.

💰 Investor Sentiment: Wall Street Is On Edge

📉 How Markets Are Performing Right Now:
✔️ S&P 500: -3.1% last week (worst decline since September)
✔️ Nasdaq 100: Down 10% from highs (official correction)
✔️ Dow Jones: -2.4%

🔍 What’s driving the uncertainty?
📍 Trade Tensions Rising → Tariffs on China & Mexico remain a market risk.
📍 Europe’s Fiscal Push → Germany & the EU are proposing huge infrastructure spending that could shift economic tides.
📍 Market Fear Index (VIX) Spiking → The highest volatility since December—a clear sign of investor anxiety.

Investors are nervous, defensive, and uncertain—which means markets could move big in either direction this week.

📅 Key Economic Reports & Earnings This Week

📌 Tuesday, March 11

• NFIB Small Business Optimism Index (6:00 AM ET) – How are small businesses holding up?
• JOLTS Job Openings (10:00 AM ET) – A key indicator for the labor market.

📌 Wednesday, March 12

• CPI Inflation Report (8:30 AM ET) – The big one.
• Adobe (ADBE) Earnings (After Market Close)

📌 Thursday, March 13

• Producer Price Index (PPI) – Measures inflation at the wholesale level.

📌 Friday, March 14

• University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey – How confident are Americans feeling about the economy?
• Dollar General (DG) & Ulta Beauty (ULTA) Earnings – Will consumer spending show signs of slowing?

⚠️ What Investors Should Watch for on Tuesday

✅ Does tech stabilize or continue selling off? → The sector is fragile.
✅ Are small businesses still optimistic? → The NFIB report will tell us.
✅ What happens with bond yields? → If rates spike, expect more market pain.

The market is at a turning point.

If CPI data surprises, if Adobe’s earnings go sideways, or if trade fears escalate, we could see major market moves in either direction.

📊 The Bottom Line: A Pivotal Moment for Stocks

Tuesday isn’t just another trading day—it’s a high-stakes inflection point.

Investors are looking for any signal that the market can stabilize.
But with tech under pressure, inflation in focus, and the Fed watching closely, we could be in for another day of wild swings.

💡 What to Watch:
✔️ Will Adobe’s earnings help reverse tech’s decline?
✔️ Will CPI data support or crush rate-cut expectations?
✔️ How will the Fed react to all of this next week?

No matter what happens, markets will move—big.