Top Power Grid Infrastructure Stock to Watch Now

September 19, 2026

Bonus Content: Five Things That Will Move Markets This Week


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Bonus Article

Five Things That Will Move Markets This Week

Last week’s Fed hike is in the books. This week answers whether the economy can absorb it. The calendar runs hot from Tuesday through Thursday, with earnings covering auto parts, homebuilding, payrolls, food costs, and warehouse retail, plus the first real look at business activity since the rate increase and a bond market test that will tell you how much higher long yields want to go.

1. AutoZone Sets the Tone Tuesday Morning

What it is: AutoZone reports its Q4 fiscal 2026 results on September 22 before the market opens, with the consensus of analysts calling for earnings per share of $54.42 on revenue of $6.71 billion.

The report is expected to serve as a barometer for retail auto parts sales, commercial shop delivery trends, and overall vehicle lifespan extension. Key growth drivers include expansion of the Mega-Hub supply chain infrastructure and continued momentum in the commercial sales segment, backed by secular tailwinds like an aging vehicle fleet.

Why it matters now: In fiscal Q3 2026, AutoZone reported revenue that slightly missed estimates but earnings per share that exceeded Wall Street forecasts, followed by a stock decline of about 11%. The stock is still recovering. A clean beat with strong commercial comps could change that; a second consecutive revenue miss will not be forgiven at any price.

2. KB Home Reveals What the Rate Hike Did to New Home Demand

What it is: KB Home releases its Q3 2026 earnings after the market closes on Tuesday, September 22. Analysts are projecting a 45.3% drop in earnings per share to around $0.89 and a 20.2% decline in revenue to about $1.30 billion compared to last year.

Why it matters now: Wall Street expects KB Home to post sharply lower earnings as the residential construction sector navigates a challenging operating environment. The more important question Tuesday night is guidance. The company previously indicated it expects housing gross profit margin in the range of 16.0% to 16.6% for its fiscal third quarter. Whether management lowers that range again, or holds it, tells you how much of this year’s rate shock has already been priced into homebuilder stocks. KBH shares gained 16.7% the day after its last earnings announcement, then drifted 20.5% lower in the 85 days that followed. A repeat is possible in either direction.

3. Flash PMIs on Wednesday Are the First Post-Hike Scorecard

What it is: The S&P Global Manufacturing, Services, and Composite PMIs for September land Wednesday morning at 9:45 AM ET.

Why it matters now: September’s flash readings arrive less than a week after the FOMC moved. These monthly early PMI reads can shift central bank rate expectations and risk appetite. A reading that shows manufacturing cracking below 50, or services softening sharply, would immediately reopen the debate over whether the September 16 hike was premature.

4. General Mills, Paychex, and Cintas Arrive Wednesday Before the Open

What it is: AutoZone, KB Home, General Mills, Paychex, and Cintas all report inside 48 hours, covering car repair budgets, new home demand, grocery pricing, and small business payrolls in one stretch. General Mills, Paychex, and Cintas all land Wednesday morning.

Why it matters now: General Mills heads into its report against a backdrop of higher input costs, the rise of GLP-1 weight-loss drugs, and pressure on processed foods. Those are structural headwinds that won’t reverse in a quarter. Paychex and Cintas are more interesting as leading indicators: both have significant exposure to small and medium-sized businesses, a segment of the economy that has historically been able to withstand the early stages of a monetary tightening cycle. If small business payrolls and uniform demand hold up Wednesday morning, that argues the labor market is sturdier than last week’s consumer sentiment reading implied.

5. Costco’s Fiscal Fourth Quarter and the Treasury Auction Sequence

What it is: Costco’s Q4 fiscal 2026 earnings are confirmed for Thursday, September 24, after the market close. Analysts expect earnings per share of $6.51 on a diluted basis, up 10.9% from $5.87 in the year-ago quarter. Running alongside the week’s earnings load, the Treasury is scheduled to auction 2-year notes Tuesday and 5-year notes Wednesday.

Why it matters now: Costco trades at roughly 45 times trailing earnings, which is astronomical for retail. At that multiple, anything short of an earnings beat and strong membership commentary risks a sharp sell-off regardless of whether the business is healthy. Watch the membership renewal rate and any commentary on traffic trends against a still-elevated rate environment. On the bond side, the two-day supply is a test of post-hike demand. Weak bidding on either auction pushes yields higher and adds direct pressure to valuations across the market, including Costco’s own premium multiple. The auctions and the earnings are linked, even if they live on different pages of the calendar.

The Cheat Sheet

  • Top Theme: The first full trading week after a Fed rate hike runs a live stress test on housing, retail, small business, and manufacturing simultaneously.
  • Stock to Watch: KB Home. A 45% projected earnings drop is already in the price; guidance on Q4 margins is not.
  • Sector to Watch: Consumer discretionary and homebuilders. Two days of earnings tell you whether rate sensitivity is spreading or contained.
  • Biggest Risk: Flash PMIs below 50 in manufacturing and a soft Treasury auction in the same 24-hour window would simultaneously challenge growth and rate assumptions.
  • Biggest Opportunity: AutoZone. If commercial auto parts demand holds and the Mega-Hub expansion shows margin leverage, the stock has unfinished business from its post-Q3 drop.
  • One Thing to Remember: This week’s data arrives before markets have had time to fully price in the Fed’s move. The numbers will land in a market still deciding what the hike means. Volatility around each release will run higher than usual.

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